Puskás vs Várda SE 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Puskás0–2
Várda SEOn these chances Puskás would usually take 0.9 points and Várda SE 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Puskás.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Puskás vs Várda SE stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Várda SE had clearly more shots on target
Puskás
Várda SE
4
Shots on target
6
4
Big chances
4
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
62%
Possession
38%
Puskás vs Várda SE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Puskás to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,664 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Puskás 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Puskás 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,028 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Puskás vs Várda SE 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Puskás vs Várda SE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Puskás0
Várda SE2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Puskás0Várda SE2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 87% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 37% | 63% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-X
18%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score