Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencváros 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Zalaegerszegi TE0–1
FerencvárosOn these chances Zalaegerszegi TE would usually take 1.3 points and Ferencváros 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Ferencváros.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencváros stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ferencváros
5
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
3
2
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
2
51%
Possession
49%
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencváros — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Ferencváros ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Ferencváros 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencváros 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencváros. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Zalaegerszegi TE0
Ferencváros1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Zalaegerszegi TE0Ferencváros1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 63% | 37% |
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score