Vasas vs Várda SE 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Vasas drew despite more chances
Vasas1–1
Várda SEOn these chances Vasas would usually take 2.5 points and Várda SE 0.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Vasas.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Vasas vs Várda SE stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vasas had clearly more shots on target
Vasas
Várda SE
7
Shots on target
4
6
Big chances
0
8
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
0
62%
Possession
38%
Vasas vs Várda SE — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Vasas to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Vasas ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Vasas 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Vasas vs Várda SE 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vasas vs Várda SE. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Vasas1
Várda SE1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Vasas1Várda SE1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| 36% | 64% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
17%
X-X
14%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
2-1
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vasas vs Várda SE — Recent Form
Vasas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Várda SE have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
VasasVárda SEOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
VasasVárda SEBoth Teams to Score
VasasVárda SEOver/Under 2.5 Goals
VasasVárda SEOver/Under 3.5 Goals
VasasVárda SEFirst Half Result
VasasVárda SECorrect Score
VasasVárda SE