1. Esteghlal vs Mes Shahr-e Babak

Esteghlal vs Mes Shahr-e Babak 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

The match between Esteghlal and Mes Shahr-e Babak ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Esteghlal win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mes Shahr-e Babak – Persepolis prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Esteghlal vs Mes Shahr-e Babak — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Esteghlal to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 72%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 87%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Esteghlal ahead at half-time.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Esteghlal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Esteghlal 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Esteghlal 2+ goals.

Our model 70%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Mes Shahr-e Babak Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mes Shahr-e Babak 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Esteghlal vs Mes Shahr-e Babak 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Esteghlal vs Mes Shahr-e Babak. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
EsteghlalEsteghlal4
Mes Shahr-e BabakMes Shahr-e Babak0

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

No 65%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 72%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

Full Time

143%
X34%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT45%55%72%28%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT77%23%94%6%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Esteghlal33%67%70%30%
Mes Shahr-e Babak49%51%84%16%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Esteghlal90%10%97%3%
Mes Shahr-e Babak96%4%99%1%

1st Half

130%
X55%
216%

1st Score

152%
X17%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

1-1

24%

X-1

17%

X-2

11%

2-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

1%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-0

17.4%

0-0

16.9%

1-1

13.8%

0-1

11.1%

2-0

9.1%

2-1

7.0%

1-2

4.4%

0-2

3.8%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mes Shahr-e Babak – Persepolis prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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