1. Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

The match between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Aluminium Arak ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a draw at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kheybar Khorramabad – Esteghlal Khuzestan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Esteghlal Khuzestan to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 90%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Esteghlal Khuzestan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Aluminium Arak Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aluminium Arak 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Esteghlal KhuzestanEsteghlal Khuzestan0
Aluminium ArakAluminium Arak2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 66%

Correct Score

0-0 22%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 77%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 80%

Full Time

133%
X39%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT51%49%77%23%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT80%20%96%4%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Esteghlal Khuzestan42%58%78%22%
Aluminium Arak47%53%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Esteghlal Khuzestan94%6%98%2%
Aluminium Arak96%4%99%1%

1st Half

123%
X57%
220%

1st Score

141%
X22%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

31%

1-1

16%

X-1

14%

2-2

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-0

21.6%

1-0

15.8%

1-1

14.0%

0-1

13.6%

2-0

6.5%

2-1

5.8%

0-2

5.2%

1-2

4.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kheybar Khorramabad – Esteghlal Khuzestan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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