1. Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad

Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

The match between Aluminium Arak and Kheybar Khorramabad ended 2-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a draw with 41% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kheybar Khorramabad – Esteghlal Khuzestan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Aluminium Arak to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 92%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.6% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Aluminium Arak Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aluminium Arak 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Kheybar Khorramabad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kheybar Khorramabad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Aluminium ArakAluminium Arak2
Kheybar KhorramabadKheybar Khorramabad2

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 68%

Correct Score

0-0 23%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 79%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 82%

Full Time

128%
X41%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT54%46%79%21%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT82%18%96%4%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Aluminium Arak48%52%83%17%
Kheybar Khorramabad45%55%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Aluminium Arak96%4%99%1%
Kheybar Khorramabad94%6%99%1%

1st Half

119%
X61%
220%

1st Score

139%
X23%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

33%

X-2

15%

2-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-0

23.4%

0-1

15.4%

1-0

14.8%

1-1

14.0%

0-2

6.1%

1-2

5.2%

2-0

5.2%

2-1

4.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kheybar Khorramabad – Esteghlal Khuzestan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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