Brick wall
6/10Aluminium Arak kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 40%).
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Brick wall
Aluminium Arak kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 40%).
6/10Clean sheets · Aluminium Arak
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak score prediction
Persian Gulf Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.0 goals in total, a little over the Persian Gulf Pro League average of 1.9.
goals expected
Fajr Sepasi1.0Aluminium Arak1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw
Our model 37%Bookmakers 31%
Our track record
In 1,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 65%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 400 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 91%Bookmakers 88%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 58.0%).
Fajr Sepasi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fajr Sepasi 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 81.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.7%).
Aluminium Arak Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aluminium Arak 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 2,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fajr Sepasi–
Aluminium Arak–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 65%
Correct Score
0-0 20%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 76%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 81%
Fajr Sepasi–Aluminium Arak–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 65%
Correct Score
0-0 20%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 76%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 81%
Full Time
131%
X37%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 76% | 24% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 81% | 19% | 96% | 4% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 80% | 20% |
| 44% | 56% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
123%
X56%
221%
1st Score
142%
X20%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
29%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
2-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
1%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-0
20.3%
1-0
15.1%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.0%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak: the stats that stand out
Persian Gulf Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Aluminium Arak: brick wall
6/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Persian Gulf Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Persian Gulf Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredFajr Sepasi and Aluminium Arak games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Persian Gulf Pro League average (30%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 30%
Fajr Sepasi2 of 10
Aluminium Arak2 of 10
BTTSleague 38%
Fajr Sepasi4 of 10
Aluminium Arak4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 198 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak — Recent Form
Last 5 matches
Aluminium ArakD
D
W
D
W
Fajr SepasiL
L
D
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Fajr Sepasi 15th of 18 · Aluminium Arak 8th of 18
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak corners, cards and goal times
Persian Gulf Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFajr Sepasi score early
Fajr Sepasi
Aluminium Arak
1.8
Cards · league 1.7
1.3
0.9
Opponents' cards · league 1.7
1.2
67%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
45%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 30%
36%
25%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
80%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 30%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Fajr Sepasi2/5
Aluminium Arak3/5
Both Teams to Score
Fajr Sepasi3/5
Aluminium Arak2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Fajr Sepasi4/5
Aluminium Arak3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Fajr Sepasi4/5
Aluminium Arak4/5
First Half Result
Fajr Sepasi3/5
Aluminium Arak3/5
Correct Score
Fajr Sepasi1/5
Aluminium Arak0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction