Caspian Qazvin scored first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 41%).
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Persian Gulf Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Fewer goals than usual expected in Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin score prediction
Persian Gulf Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 1.4 goals expected
1.4 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.9).
goals expected
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Persian Gulf Pro League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paykan to win
Our track record
In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 65.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1X 80%
BTTS*
No 68%
Correct Score
0-0 22%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 78%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 81%
Winner
1X 80%
BTTS*
No 68%
Correct Score
0-0 22%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 78%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 81%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 78% | 22% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 81% | 19% | 96% | 4% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 75% | 25% | |
| 54% | 46% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% | |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
31%
1-1
21%
X-1
18%
X-2
10%
2-2
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-0
21.5%
1-0
20.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin: the stats that stand out
Persian Gulf Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Caspian Qazvin: slow starters · Paykan: shot-shy
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Persian Gulf Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Persian Gulf Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredPaykan and Caspian Qazvin games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Persian Gulf Pro League average (29%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 195 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin — Recent Form
Last 5 matches
Strength rank: Paykan 11th of 18 · Caspian Qazvin 14th of 18
Paykan vs Caspian Qazvin corners, cards and goal times
Persian Gulf Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Persian Gulf Pro League average
Paykan
Caspian Qazvin
1.4
Cards · league 1.7
1.4
0.9
Opponents' cards · league 1.7
1.6
50%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
50%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 29%
33%
44%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
58%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 29%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score