1. Petrojet vs Smouha

Petrojet vs Smouha 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
PetrojetPetrojet

1–1

SmouhaSmouha
0.9Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Petrojet would usually take 0.9 points and Smouha 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Smouha.

Petrojet +0.1 pts vs chancesSmouha −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Petrojet vs Smouha stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Petrojet

Smouha

2

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

5

4

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

1

34%

Possession

66%

The match between Petrojet and Smouha ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Smouha win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Petrojet vs Smouha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Smouha to win

Wrong
Our model 36%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,099 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.8% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,749 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,180 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 1,700 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.6%).

Petrojet Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Petrojet 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Smouha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Smouha 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,386 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Petrojet vs Smouha 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Petrojet vs Smouha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PetrojetPetrojet1
SmouhaSmouha1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

132%
X33%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Petrojet38%62%75%25%
Smouha35%65%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Petrojet92%8%98%2%
Smouha91%9%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X52%
223%

1st Score

142%
X13%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

2-2

18%

1-1

17%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.3%

0-0

13.4%

0-1

13.3%

1-0

12.4%

1-2

7.4%

0-2

6.9%

2-1

6.8%

2-0

5.8%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Petrojet vs Smouha — Recent Form

Smouha have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Petrojet have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

SmouhaSmouha
D
W
W
W
L
PetrojetPetrojet
D
L
D
W
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PetrojetPetrojet
2/5
SmouhaSmouha
3/5

Both Teams to Score

PetrojetPetrojet
0/5
SmouhaSmouha
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PetrojetPetrojet
1/5
SmouhaSmouha
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PetrojetPetrojet
4/5
SmouhaSmouha
5/5

First Half Result

PetrojetPetrojet
0/5
SmouhaSmouha
3/5

Correct Score

PetrojetPetrojet
0/5
SmouhaSmouha
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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