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Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra

3–2

Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla
1.8Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Ceramica Cleopatra would usually take 2.1 points and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Ceramica Cleopatra.

Ceramica Cleopatra +0.9 pts vs chancesGhazl El Mehalla −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Ceramica Cleopatra had more than twice the shots on target

Ceramica Cleopatra

Ghazl El Mehalla

8

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

3

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

1

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Ceramica Cleopatra and Ghazl El Mehalla ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Ceramica Cleopatra win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ghazl El Mehalla – Al Ittihad prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceramica Cleopatra to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Ceramica Cleopatra ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Ceramica Cleopatra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceramica Cleopatra 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,423 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Ghazl El Mehalla Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 2,567 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra3
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

148%
X28%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ceramica Cleopatra27%73%62%38%
Ghazl El Mehalla44%56%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ceramica Cleopatra85%15%96%4%
Ghazl El Mehalla94%6%99%1%

1st Half

134%
X47%
219%

1st Score

155%
X11%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

20%

X-1

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.7%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

11.3%

2-0

9.5%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

9.1%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.8%

3-1

3.6%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ghazl El Mehalla – Al Ittihad prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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