2. Leagues
  3. Premier League
  4. Abu Qir Fertilizers vs National Bank of Egypt

Abu Qir Semad vs National Bank of Egypt 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Smash-and-grab

Abu Qir Semad won with less than half the chances

Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad

1–0

National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt
0.5Chances (xG)3.0

On these chances Abu Qir Semad would usually take 0.2 points and National Bank of Egypt 2.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: National Bank of Egypt.

Abu Qir Semad +2.8 pts vs chancesNational Bank of Egypt −2.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Abu Qir Semad vs National Bank of Egypt stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

National Bank of Egypt had more than twice the shots on target

Abu Qir Semad

National Bank of Egypt

3

Shots on target

10

1

Big chances

2

1

Corners

9

2

Yellow cards

0

18%

Possession

82%

The match between Abu Qir Semad and National Bank of Egypt ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an National Bank of Egypt win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Abu Qir Semad vs National Bank of Egypt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt to win

Wrong
Our model 36%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Abu Qir Semad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

National Bank of Egypt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Abu Qir Semad vs National Bank of Egypt 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Abu Qir Semad vs National Bank of Egypt. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad1
National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt0

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

131%
X33%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%67%33%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Abu Qir Semad38%62%76%24%
National Bank of Egypt35%65%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Abu Qir Semad93%7%98%2%
National Bank of Egypt90%10%97%3%

1st Half

124%
X52%
224%

1st Score

143%
X14%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

2-2

18%

1-1

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

14%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

15.1%

0-0

13.6%

0-1

13.0%

1-0

12.8%

1-2

7.1%

2-1

6.7%

0-2

6.7%

2-0

5.8%

2-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores