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Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
0–2
On these chances Abu Qir Semad would usually take 1.0 points and Al Ittihad 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ittihad.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Al Ittihad had more than twice the shots on target
Abu Qir Semad
Al Ittihad
2
Shots on target
5
0
Big chances
2
5
Corners
9
1
Yellow cards
1
44%
Possession
56%
Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ittihad to win.
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Al Ittihad 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 69% | 31% | |
| 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% | |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
25%
1-1
24%
X-1
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score