1. Abu Qir Fertilizers vs Al Ittihad

Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad

0–2

Al IttihadAl Ittihad
0.8Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Abu Qir Semad would usually take 1.0 points and Al Ittihad 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ittihad.

Abu Qir Semad −1.0 pts vs chancesAl Ittihad +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ittihad had more than twice the shots on target

Abu Qir Semad

Al Ittihad

2

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

2

5

Corners

9

1

Yellow cards

1

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Abu Qir Semad and Al Ittihad ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Abu Qir Semad win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abu Qir Semad to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ittihad to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 89%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Abu Qir Semad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Al Ittihad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Abu Qir Semad vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad0
Al IttihadAl Ittihad2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

140%
X34%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT40%60%67%33%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Abu Qir Semad32%68%69%31%
Al Ittihad43%57%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Abu Qir Semad90%10%97%3%
Al Ittihad93%7%98%2%

1st Half

127%
X54%
219%

1st Score

149%
X15%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

1-1

24%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.2%

0-0

14.7%

1-1

14.6%

0-1

10.1%

2-1

8.1%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

5.7%

0-2

4.2%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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