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Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al IttihadAl Ittihad

1–0

Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol
0.7Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Al Ittihad would usually take 1.2 points and Asyut Petrol 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ittihad.

Al Ittihad +1.8 pts vs chancesAsyut Petrol −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Asyut Petrol had more than twice the shots on target

Al Ittihad

Asyut Petrol

2

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

1

4

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

3

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Al Ittihad and Asyut Petrol ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Ittihad win with 38% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 87%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Al Ittihad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Asyut Petrol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asyut Petrol 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Al IttihadAl Ittihad1
Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

0-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

Full Time

138%
X32%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT43%57%69%31%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT77%23%94%6%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Ittihad36%64%72%28%
Asyut Petrol43%57%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Ittihad92%8%98%2%
Asyut Petrol94%6%99%1%

1st Half

127%
X52%
221%

1st Score

145%
X16%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

1-1

21%

2-2

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

0-0

15.7%

1-0

14.9%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

12.2%

2-0

7.7%

2-1

7.2%

1-2

6.0%

0-2

5.6%

2-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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