1. Petrojet vs Al Masry

Petrojet vs Al Masry 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Smash-and-grab

Petrojet won with fewer chances than Al Masry

PetrojetPetrojet

2–1

Al MasryAl Masry
1.3Chances (xG)2.4

On these chances Petrojet would usually take 0.8 points and Al Masry 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Masry.

Petrojet +2.2 pts vs chancesAl Masry −2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Petrojet vs Al Masry stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Petrojet

Al Masry

4

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

1

6

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

0

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Petrojet and Al Masry ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Masry win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Petrojet vs Al Masry — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Masry to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Petrojet Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Petrojet 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Masry Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Masry 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Petrojet vs Al Masry 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Petrojet vs Al Masry. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PetrojetPetrojet2
Al MasryAl Masry1

Winner

X2 77%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

123%
X31%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Petrojet45%55%80%20%
Al Masry29%71%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Petrojet95%5%99%1%
Al Masry87%13%96%4%

1st Half

119%
X52%
229%

1st Score

135%
X13%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

X-X

23%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.6%

0-0

13.3%

1-1

13.2%

0-2

9.8%

1-0

9.7%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

5.4%

0-3

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

2-0

3.9%

1-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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