2. Leagues
  3. Premier League
  4. National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt

3–1

Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla
1.6Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances National Bank of Egypt would usually take 1.8 points and Ghazl El Mehalla 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: National Bank of Egypt.

National Bank of Egypt +1.3 pts vs chancesGhazl El Mehalla −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

National Bank of Egypt had more than twice the shots on target

National Bank of Egypt

Ghazl El Mehalla

6

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

1

9

Corners

8

0

Yellow cards

0

55%

Possession

45%

The match between National Bank of Egypt and Ghazl El Mehalla ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a National Bank of Egypt win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wadi Degla – National Bank of Egypt prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 85%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

National Bank of Egypt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Ghazl El Mehalla Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt3
Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla1

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

146%
X31%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
National Bank of Egypt29%71%65%35%
Ghazl El Mehalla46%54%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
National Bank of Egypt88%12%96%4%
Ghazl El Mehalla96%4%99%1%

1st Half

130%
X51%
219%

1st Score

152%
X14%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

23%

X-1

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.4%

0-0

13.8%

1-1

13.6%

0-1

9.9%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

5.3%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.6%

2-2

3.5%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wadi Degla – National Bank of Egypt prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores