Abu Qir Fertilizers vs Asyut Petrol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Fewer goals than usual expected in Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 1.9 goals expected
1.9 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.1.
goals expected
Abu Qir Semad0.9
Asyut Petrol1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad to win
Our track record
In 2,051 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.8%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 2,378 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 392 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.8% of the time (bookmakers said 86.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
Asyut Petrol 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Abu Qir Semad–
Asyut Petrol–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
0-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 76%
Abu Qir Semad–Asyut Petrol–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
0-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 76%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 70% | 30% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 76% | 24% | 94% | 6% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 73% | 27% |
| 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
24%
1-1
22%
X-1
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
0-0
15.2%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Abu Qir Semad: weak attack, weak defence (0.65 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Asyut Petrol: weak attack, weak defence (0.72 xG, 1.22 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Abu Qir SemadBookmakers: 45% to win today. · 5 of 10 games+0.6
- Asyut PetrolBookmakers: 23% to win today. · 5 of 10 games−2.0
Last 5 matches
Abu Qir SemadAsyut PetrolStrength rank: Abu Qir Semad 20th of 20 · Asyut Petrol 19th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Abu Qir Semad and Asyut Petrol games less often than the Premier League average (49%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 274 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Abu Qir Semad vs Asyut Petrol corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAbu Qir Semad: last 5 with these statsAsyut Petrol: last 5 with these statsGoal times close to the Premier League average
Abu Qir Semad
Asyut Petrol
3.8
Corners won · league 4.5
2.6
6.0
Corners conceded · league 4.5
9.0
2.2
Cards · league 2.0
2.4
1.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.8
0%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
0%
0%
Goals after 75' · league 28%
0%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
20%
38%
Conceded after 75' · league 28%
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir SemadBoth Teams to Score
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir SemadOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir SemadOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir SemadFirst Half Result
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir SemadCorrect Score
Asyut PetrolAbu Qir Semad