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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 32)

The match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Aston Villa win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa — Premier League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 32 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

Aston VillaAston Villa
44.1%(15/34)

+2.1% Above implied probability

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
50%(17/34)

+15.7% Strongly above implied probability

43.2% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Aston VillaAston Villa
61.8%(21/34)

+14.2% Strongly above implied probability

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
47.1%(16/34)

-12.9% Below implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Aston VillaAston Villa
41.2%(14/34)

-23.3% Below implied probability

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
52.9%(18/34)

-1.5% Near implied probability

53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Aston VillaAston Villa
73.5%(25/34)

+20.1% Strongly above implied probability

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
76.5%(26/34)

+25% Strongly above implied probability

61.2% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Aston VillaAston Villa
47.1%(16/34)

+23.9% Strongly above implied probability

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
38.2%(13/34)

+0.5% Above implied probability

38% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Aston VillaAston Villa
11.8%(4/34)
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
14.7%(5/34)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Nottingham Forest hit at 77% accuracy — that's 25% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Aston Villa sit 23.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
136%
X25%
239%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
56%44%80%20%
1st Half
127%
X43%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
19%5%13%
2-22-XX-2
23%5%14%
1-2X-X2-1
2%16%3%
1st Score
147%
X6%
247%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036362/mygameodds/teams/ja5dklqnqawcpupuvrhd.png logo29%71%61%39%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036348/mygameodds/teams/almpkbimlz0xa8bb5jmi.png logo27%73%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036362/mygameodds/teams/ja5dklqnqawcpupuvrhd.png logo83%17%94%6%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036348/mygameodds/teams/almpkbimlz0xa8bb5jmi.png logo81%19%93%7%
Correct Score
1-11-22-10-11-0
11.3%8.5%8.1%8.0%7.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa — Prediction Form & Streaks

Nottingham Forest have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Aston Villa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
2 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
2 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
1 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Aston VillaAston Villa
0 in a row
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0 in a row

Nottingham Forest & Aston Villa Teams in Best Form

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
W
W
D
W
D
Aston VillaAston Villa
L
W
D
W
L

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