Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 32)
Chelsea vs Manchester City — Premier League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 32 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Manchester City+26.8% Strongly above implied probability
Chelsea+1.1% Above implied probability
┊ 44.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Manchester City-13.7% Below implied probability
Chelsea+7.4% Above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Manchester City+11.7% Strongly above implied probability
Chelsea+20.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Manchester City+22.7% Strongly above implied probability
Chelsea+3.2% Above implied probability
┊ 62.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Manchester City+63.1% Strongly above implied probability
Chelsea+24.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.8% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Manchester CityChelseaOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Chelsea and Manchester City across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Manchester City hit at 63% accuracy — that's 63.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Manchester City sit 13.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Chelsea vs Manchester City Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Chelsea vs Manchester City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 6% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 19% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 14% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
 | 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 6% | 14% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 19% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 14% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chelsea vs Manchester City — Prediction Form & Streaks
Manchester City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Chelsea have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Full-Time Result
Manchester CityChelseaBoth Teams To Score
Manchester CityChelseaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Manchester CityChelseaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Manchester CityChelseaFirst Half Result
Manchester CityChelseaCorrect Score
Manchester CityChelseaChelsea & Manchester City Teams in Best Form
Manchester CityChelsea