Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)
Burnley vs Aston Villa — Premier League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 36 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Aston Villa+0% Above implied probability
Burnley+33.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.1% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Aston Villa+14.2% Strongly above implied probability
Burnley+35.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Aston Villa-23.1% Below implied probability
Burnley+31.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Aston Villa+19.9% Strongly above implied probability
Burnley+0.8% Above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Aston Villa+23.3% Strongly above implied probability
Burnley+38.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.2% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Aston VillaBurnleyOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Burnley and Aston Villa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Burnley hit at 53% accuracy — that's 38.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Aston Villa sit 23.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Burnley vs Aston Villa — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Burnley vs Aston Villa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 24% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 53% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 21% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 5% | 9% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 31% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 4% | 13% | 2% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 60% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 39% | 61% | 72% | 28% |
 | 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 24% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 53% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 21% | |
| X | 39% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 5% | 9% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 31% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 4% | 13% | 2% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 60% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 72% | 28% |
| 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Burnley vs Aston Villa — Prediction Form & Streaks
Aston Villa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Burnley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Burnley well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Aston VillaBurnleyBoth Teams To Score
Aston VillaBurnleyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Aston VillaBurnleyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Aston VillaBurnleyFirst Half Result
Aston VillaBurnleyCorrect Score
Aston VillaBurnleyBurnley & Aston Villa Teams in Best Form
Aston VillaBurnley