1. Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Bore draw alert

Fewer goals than usual expected in Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh

2.0goals expected · Premier League average 2.5

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 61%

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh score prediction

Premier League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Bore draw alertJust 2.0 goals expected

2.0 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Premier League average is 2.5).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livyi Bereh to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 6,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 82%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,698 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 47%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Obolon'-Brovar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Obolon'-Brovar 0–1 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Livyi Bereh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livyi Bereh 0–1 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar–
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh–

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

125%
X30%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Obolon'-Brovar44%56%79%21%
Livyi Bereh29%71%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Obolon'-Brovar95%5%99%1%
Livyi Bereh85%15%96%4%

1st Half

122%
X47%
231%

1st Score

136%
X12%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-X

22%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

13.7%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

12.3%

1-0

9.6%

0-2

9.1%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

5.9%

2-0

4.4%

0-3

4.3%

2-2

3.9%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh: the stats that stand out

Premier League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Obolon'-Brovar: shot-shy and slow starters

Shot-shy
Obolon'-Brovar7/10

Obolon'-Brovar failed to score in 7 of their last 10 (league 35%).

Slow starters
Obolon'-Brovar1/10

Obolon'-Brovar scored first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 44%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh: attack vs defence

Premier League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar: weak attack, weak defence (0.62 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
  • Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh: weak attack, good defence (0.85 xG, 1.01 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh form and luck check

Premier League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Obolon'-Brovar
    Obolon'-BrovarBookmakers: 33% to win today. · 9 of 10 games
    +2.0
  • Livyi Bereh
    Livyi BerehBookmakers: 37% to win today. · 8 of 10 games
    −1.9

Last 5 matches

Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
D
L
L
W
L
13th in table
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
L
L
W
D
L
14th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Obolon'-Brovar 15th of 16 · Livyi Bereh 11th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Premier League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Premier League average (49%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Obolon'-Brovar4 of 10
Livyi Bereh2 of 9
BTTSleague 42%
Obolon'-Brovar2 of 10
Livyi Bereh4 of 9

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh corners, cards and goal times

Premier League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.7
  • Cards: league 2.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 21%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
4/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
3/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
3/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
4/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
4/5

First Half Result

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
1/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
3/5

Correct Score

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
0/5
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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