Primera Division Predictions & Stats
Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.
Primera Division Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 7 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
41%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
44% Implied Probability
-6.7% Near implied probability
Both Teams To Score
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
53.9% Implied Probability
+0.3% Above implied probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
59%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
53.7% Implied Probability
+9.9% Above implied probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
76%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
62.6% Implied Probability
+21.5% Strongly above implied probability
First Half Result
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
38.8% Implied Probability
+31.4% Strongly above implied probability
Correct Score
9%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 9%.
First Half Result is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 51% prediction accuracy — that's 31.4% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions currently sit 6.7% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 41%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Full-Time Result bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Primera Division Uruguay
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 42% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% | |
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| Nacional | 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% | |
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing | 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| Liverpool | 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% | |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torque | 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% |
| Central Español | 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 62% | 38% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% | |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 62% | 38% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| Danubio | 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% | |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 14% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 20% | 80% | 53% | 47% |
| Cerro | 55% | 45% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 71% | 29% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 14% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 53% | 47% | |
| 55% | 45% | 87% | 13% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 71% | 29% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| Albion | 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 67% | 33% | 75% | 25% |
| 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 32% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% | |
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 67% | 33% | 75% | 25% |
| 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 46% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| Boston River | 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 46% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% | |
| 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 41% | 70% | 30% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| Torque | 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% | |
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 59% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| Central Español | 40% | 60% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% | |
| 40% | 60% | 76% | 24% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 65% | 35% | 74% | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 21% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 24% | 76% | 59% | 41% |
| Cerro Largo | 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 61% | 39% | 71% | 29% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 21% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 59% | 41% | |
| 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 61% | 39% | 71% | 29% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albion | 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| Wanderers | 44% | 56% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 70% | 30% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% | |
| 44% | 56% | 79% | 21% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 60% | 40% | 70% | 30% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 35% | 65% | 72% | 28% |
| Juventud | 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 72% | 28% | |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 55% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 51% | 49% | 85% | 15% |
| Peñarol | 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 55% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51% | 49% | 85% | 15% | |
| 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 63% | 37% | 72% | 28% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing | 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
| Progreso | 45% | 55% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% | |
| 45% | 55% | 81% | 19% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 64% | 36% | 73% | 27% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
| Defensor Sporting | 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 62% | 38% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% | |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| FT | 62% | 38% | 72% | 28% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Cerro leads First Half Result predictions with 83% accuracy (5 correct out of 6 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Prediction Form Streaks
Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Prediction Form Streaks
Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Prediction Form Streaks
Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Prediction Form Streaks
Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Prediction Form Streaks
Primera Division Teams in Best Form
Primera Division Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | W W W W D |
2 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | W D W L W |
3 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | W D W W L |
4 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | D W W W D |
5 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | D W W D L |