1. Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion

Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)

Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Deportivo Maldonado

Albion

3

Shots on target

4

4

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

1

The match between Deportivo Maldonado and Albion ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Deportivo Maldonado win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Maldonado to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Deportivo Maldonado Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Maldonado 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Albion 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1
AlbionAlbion1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

141%
X31%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%60%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Maldonado28%72%64%36%
Albion38%62%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Maldonado87%13%96%4%
Albion92%8%98%2%

1st Half

128%
X49%
222%

1st Score

150%
X11%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.4%

1-0

12.5%

0-0

10.7%

0-1

9.7%

2-1

9.1%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

7.0%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

3.3%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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