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Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion
3
Shots on target
4
4
Corners
2
3
Yellow cards
1
Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Albion 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 60% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 64% | 36% | |
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
X-X
21%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score