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Wanderers vs Progreso 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Wanderers vs Progreso stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Wanderers
Progreso
6
Shots on target
5
2
Corners
7
4
Yellow cards
2
Wanderers vs Progreso — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Wanderers to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Wanderers 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Progreso 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Wanderers vs Progreso 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wanderers vs Progreso. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Wanderers2
Progreso0Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Wanderers2Progreso0Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
 | 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
18%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score