Wanderers vs Atlético Progreso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Wanderers vs Progreso — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 5 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Wanderers-23% Below implied probability
Progreso+21.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 47.8% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Wanderers-13.5% Below implied probability
Progreso-4% Near implied probability
┊ 54.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Wanderers-13.2% Below implied probability
Progreso-3.7% Near implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Wanderers+37.4% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+37.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Wanderers+7.4% Above implied probability
Progreso+20.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.2% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
WanderersProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Wanderers and Progreso across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Wanderers hit at 84% accuracy — that's 37.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Wanderers sit 23% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Wanderers vs Progreso — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wanderers vs Progreso. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wanderers–
Progreso–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Wanderers–Progreso–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
18%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wanderers vs Progreso — Prediction Form & Streaks
Wanderers have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Wanderers have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
WanderersProgresoBoth Teams To Score
WanderersProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
WanderersProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
WanderersProgresoFirst Half Result
WanderersProgresoCorrect Score
WanderersProgresoWanderers & Progreso Teams in Best Form
WanderersWanderersProgresoProgreso