Racing vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Racing vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 5 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Peñarol+10.3% Strongly above implied probability
Racing-33.8% Below implied probability
┊ 47.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Peñarol-13.5% Below implied probability
Racing-13.5% Below implied probability
┊ 54.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Peñarol+6.2% Above implied probability
Racing+25.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Peñarol+28.7% Strongly above implied probability
Racing+37.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Peñarol-19.6% Below implied probability
Racing+33.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
PeñarolRacingOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Racing and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Racing hit at 84% accuracy — that's 37.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Racing sit 33.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Racing vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Racing vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Racing–
Peñarol–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Racing–Peñarol–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 65% | 35% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 77% | 23% |
| 32% | 68% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 7% | 99% | 1% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
20%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Racing vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Racing have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Racing have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Racing well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
PeñarolRacingBoth Teams To Score
PeñarolRacingOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PeñarolRacingOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PeñarolRacingFirst Half Result
PeñarolRacingCorrect Score
PeñarolRacingRacing & Peñarol Teams in Best Form
PeñarolRacingRacingPeñarol