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Racing vs Peñarol

Racing vs Peñarol 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)

The match between Racing and Peñarol ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Peñarol win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Maldonado – Peñarol prediction & betting tips (Aug 22, 2026).

Racing vs Peñarol 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Racing vs Peñarol. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Racing1

Peñarol1

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Racing1

Peñarol1

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

129%

X31%

240%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	38%	62%	65%	35%	73%	27%	92%	8%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	38%	62%	65%	35%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	73%	27%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	41%	59%	77%	23%	94%	7%	99%	1%
	32%	68%	68%	32%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	77%	23%
	32%	68%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	94%	7%	99%	1%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

122%

X50%

228%

1st Score

140%

X13%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.0%

0-1

13.8%

0-0

12.9%

1-0

11.1%

0-2

8.0%

1-2

8.0%

2-1

6.2%

2-0

5.3%

2-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score