Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 6 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Deportivo Maldonado-7.2% Near implied probability
Progreso+23.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 48.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Deportivo Maldonado-45.2% Below implied probability
Progreso+0.5% Above implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Deportivo Maldonado-17.6% Below implied probability
Progreso+0.7% Above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Deportivo Maldonado+24.8% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Deportivo Maldonado+14.5% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+14.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Progreso hit at 85% accuracy — that's 41.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 45.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Progreso–
Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Progreso–Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 81% | 19% |
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
19%
X-X
17%
1-1
10%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — Prediction Form & Streaks
Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoBoth Teams To Score
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoFirst Half Result
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoCorrect Score
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoProgreso & Deportivo Maldonado Teams in Best Form
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo MaldonadoProgresoProgreso