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Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool
6
Shots on target
6
5
Corners
8
1
Yellow cards
3
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Liverpool to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Defensor Sporting to win.
Our track record
In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Defensor Sporting 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Liverpool 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,276 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Defensor Sporting1
Liverpool2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Defensor Sporting1Liverpool2Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 69% | 31% |
 | 32% | 68% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
20%
2-2
19%
1-1
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
14%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score