Peñarol vs Cerro Largo 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 7)
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 7 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result
44.6% implied
Cerro Largo62.5%15/24+40.1%Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol58.3%14/24+30.7%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Cerro Largo58.3%14/24+7.2%Above implied probabilityPeñarol45.8%11/24-15.8%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.2% implied
Cerro Largo66.7%16/24+23.1%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol50%12/24-7.7%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Cerro Largo83.3%20/24+36.3%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol79.2%19/24+29.6%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.7% implied
Cerro Largo33.3%8/24-14%Below implied probabilityPeñarol29.2%7/24-24.5%Below implied probabilityCerro Largo3/24Peñarol2/24Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Cerro Largo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Cerro Largo hit at 63% accuracy — that's 40.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 24.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Peñarol vs Cerro Largo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Peñarol3
Cerro Largo0Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Peñarol3Cerro Largo0Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 74% | 26% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 60% | 40% |
| 49% | 51% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
19%
X-X
19%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Cerro Largo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Cerro Largo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Cerro LargoPeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolPeñarol & Cerro Largo Teams in Best Form
PeñarolCerro Largo