Peñarol vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 7)
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 7 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Cerro Largo+34% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol+3.1% Above implied probability
┊ 48.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Cerro Largo+9.7% Above implied probability
Peñarol-17.7% Below implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Cerro Largo+19% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol+9.9% Above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Cerro Largo+33.1% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol+33.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Cerro Largo+1.8% Above implied probability
Peñarol-23.7% Below implied probability
┊ 39.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Cerro LargoPeñarolOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Cerro Largo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Cerro Largo hit at 65% accuracy — that's 34% above the bookmaker baseline of 48.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 23.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peñarol vs Cerro Largo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Peñarol–
Cerro Largo–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Peñarol–Cerro Largo–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 57% | 43% |
| 47% | 53% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
20%
X-X
18%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
10.0%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Cerro Largo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Cerro Largo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Cerro Largo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Cerro Largo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Cerro LargoPeñarolBoth Teams To Score
Cerro LargoPeñarolOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Cerro LargoPeñarolOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Cerro LargoPeñarolFirst Half Result
Cerro LargoPeñarolCorrect Score
Cerro LargoPeñarolPeñarol & Cerro Largo Teams in Best Form
PeñarolCerro LargoPeñarolCerro Largo