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Central Español vs Liverpool 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 7)

Robbed

Liverpool drew despite more chances

Central EspañolCentral Español

0–0

LiverpoolLiverpool
0.2Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Central Español would usually take 0.6 points and Liverpool 2.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Liverpool.

Central Español +0.4 pts vs chancesLiverpool −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Central Español vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liverpool had more than twice the shots on target

Central Español

Liverpool

1

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

0

5

Corners

8

5

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

2

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Central Español and Liverpool ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Liverpool win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Danubio – Central Español prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Central Español vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool to win

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Central Español Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Español 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Central Español vs Liverpool 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Central Español vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Primera Division - Uruguay
Central EspañolCentral Español0
LiverpoolLiverpool0

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

120%
X28%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Central Español48%52%83%17%
Liverpool24%76%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Central Español96%4%99%1%
Liverpool83%17%95%5%

1st Half

118%
X48%
234%

1st Score

131%
X11%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-X

20%

X-2

18%

1-1

10%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.8%

1-1

13.0%

0-0

11.0%

0-2

10.8%

1-2

9.4%

1-0

8.4%

0-3

4.7%

2-1

4.7%

1-3

4.3%

2-2

3.6%

2-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Danubio – Central Español prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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