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Torque vs Peñarol 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 1)
Torque1–1
PeñarolOn these chances Torque would usually take 1.9 points and Peñarol 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Peñarol.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Torque vs Peñarol stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Torque had more than twice the shots on target
Torque
Peñarol
4
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
0
0
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
64%
Possession
36%
Torque vs Peñarol — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Peñarol to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Torque 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Peñarol 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Torque vs Peñarol 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Torque vs Peñarol. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Torque1
Peñarol1Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Torque1Peñarol1Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
X-X
18%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Torque vs Peñarol — Recent Form
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Torque have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table.
Last 5 matches
PeñarolTorqueOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PeñarolTorqueBoth Teams to Score
PeñarolTorqueOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PeñarolTorqueOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PeñarolTorqueFirst Half Result
PeñarolTorqueCorrect Score
PeñarolTorque