Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 2)
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 2 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
45.8% implied
Deportivo Maldonado39.1%9/23-14.6%Below implied probability
Progreso60.9%14/23+33%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Deportivo Maldonado30.4%7/23-44.1%Below implied probabilityProgreso56.5%13/23+3.9%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.3% implied
Deportivo Maldonado47.8%11/23-12%Below implied probabilityProgreso56.5%13/23+4.1%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.9% implied
Deportivo Maldonado73.9%17/23+21.3%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso87%20/23+42.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Deportivo Maldonado47.8%11/23+22.9%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso43.5%10/23+11.8%Strongly above implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado4/23Progreso4/23Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Progreso hit at 87% accuracy — that's 42.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 44.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Progreso–
Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Progreso–Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% |
| 24% | 76% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
X-2
18%
X-X
17%
1-1
11%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.4%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Deportivo MaldonadoProgresoDeportivo MaldonadoProgresoDeportivo MaldonadoProgresoDeportivo MaldonadoProgresoDeportivo MaldonadoProgresoDeportivo MaldonadoProgreso