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Torque vs Wanderers 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result
TorqueTorque

5–1

WanderersWanderers
1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Torque would usually take 1.3 points and Wanderers 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Torque.

Torque +1.7 pts vs chancesWanderers −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Torque vs Wanderers stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Torque

Wanderers

6

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

0

2

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Torque and Wanderers ended 5-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Torque win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Torque vs Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wanderers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Torque vs Wanderers 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Torque vs Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Primera Division - Uruguay
TorqueTorque5
WanderersWanderers1

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

146%
X29%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque26%74%60%40%
Wanderers41%59%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Torque85%15%95%5%
Wanderers93%7%98%2%

1st Half

134%
X47%
219%

1st Score

154%
X10%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

21%

X-1

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.6%

1-0

13.2%

0-0

10.0%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.9%

0-1

8.6%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

4.5%

0-2

4.2%

3-1

3.9%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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