1. Montevideo City Torque vs Liverpool

Torque vs Liverpool 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Torque vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Torque had clearly more shots on target

Torque

Liverpool

7

Shots on target

4

4

Corners

8

4

Yellow cards

5

1

Red cards

0

The match between Torque and Liverpool ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Torque win with 35% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Torque vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Liverpool to win.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 22%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Torque vs Liverpool 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Torque vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
TorqueTorque3
LiverpoolLiverpool1

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

135%
X31%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque33%67%69%31%
Liverpool33%67%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Torque90%10%97%3%
Liverpool89%11%97%3%

1st Half

127%
X47%
226%

1st Score

145%
X11%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

19%

2-2

18%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.5%

1-0

11.3%

0-1

11.0%

0-0

10.9%

2-1

7.6%

1-2

7.3%

0-2

6.3%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

4.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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