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Central Español vs Montevideo City Torque

Central Español vs Torque 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 7)

Fair result

Central Español

1–4

Torque

1.6Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Central Español would usually take 1.0 points and Torque 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Torque.

Central Español −1.0 pts vs chancesTorque +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Central Español vs Torque stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Torque had more than twice the shots on target

Central Español

Torque

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Central Español and Torque ended 1-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Torque win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Central Español vs Torque — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque to win

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 80%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Central Español Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Español 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Central Español vs Torque 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Central Español vs Torque. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Central Español1

Torque4

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Central Español1

Torque4

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

134%

X28%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	33%	67%	60%	41%	70%	30%	90%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	33%	67%	60%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	35%	65%	71%	29%	91%	9%	98%	2%
	32%	68%	68%	32%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	35%	65%	71%	29%
	32%	68%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	98%	2%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

125%

X48%

227%

1st Score

142%

X10%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

X-X

20%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

0-1

12.0%

1-0

11.2%

0-0

10.1%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

6.8%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

4.4%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Central Español vs Torque — Recent Form

Torque have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Central Español have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Torque

Central Español

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Torque

3/5

Central Español

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Torque

1/5

Central Español

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Torque

4/5

Central Español

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Torque

4/5

Central Español

4/5

First Half Result

Torque

3/5

Central Español

1/5

Correct Score

Torque

1/5

Central Español

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).