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Nacional vs Montevideo City Torque

Nacional vs Torque 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Fair result

Nacional

2–0

Torque

1.3Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Nacional would usually take 1.7 points and Torque 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nacional.

Nacional +1.3 pts vs chancesTorque −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nacional vs Torque stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nacional had more than twice the shots on target

Nacional

Torque

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Nacional and Torque ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nacional win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Nacional vs Torque — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nacional to win

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Nacional Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nacional 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nacional vs Torque 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nacional vs Torque. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Nacional2

Torque0

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Nacional2

Torque0

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

149%

X27%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	81%	19%	94%	6%
	40%	60%	76%	24%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	40%	60%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	94%	6%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

135%

X45%

219%

1st Score

156%

X9%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

18%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

1-0

12.6%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.9%

0-0

8.6%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

4.8%

3-1

4.6%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Nacional vs Torque — Recent Form

Nacional have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Torque have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table.

Last 5 matches

Nacional

Torque

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Nacional

4/5

Torque

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Nacional

2/5

Torque

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional

4/5

Torque

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Nacional

4/5

Torque

4/5

First Half Result

Nacional

1/5

Torque

3/5

Correct Score

Nacional

2/5

Torque

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).