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Parma vs Torino

Parma vs Torino 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Smash-and-grab

Torino won with less than half the chances

Parma

0–3

Torino

2.3Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Parma would usually take 2.3 points and Torino 0.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Torino.

Parma −2.3 pts vs chancesTorino +2.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Parma vs Torino stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Parma had more than twice the shots on target

Parma

Torino

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

51%

Possession

50%

The match between Parma and Torino ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Parma win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Frosinone – Torino prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Parma vs Torino — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Parma to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Torino to win.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 27%

Our track record

In 1,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,701 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Parma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Parma 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Torino Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torino 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Parma vs Torino 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Parma vs Torino. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Parma0

Torino3

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Parma0

Torino3

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

135%

X31%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%	72%	28%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	72%	28%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	70%	30%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	35%	65%	71%	29%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	70%	30%
	35%	65%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

126%

X51%

224%

1st Score

147%

X11%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.9%

1-0

12.2%

0-1

11.6%

0-0

11.4%

2-1

7.7%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

6.5%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

4.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Parma vs Torino — Recent Form

Torino have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Torino

Parma

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Parma

3/5

Torino

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Parma

2/5

Torino

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Parma

3/5

Torino

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Parma

5/5

Torino

3/5

First Half Result

Parma

2/5

Torino

1/5

Correct Score

Parma

0/5

Torino

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Frosinone – Torino prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).