Serie B Brazil Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie B Brazil match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 7 October 2026.

Serie B Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 32 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

51%

Both Teams To Score

63%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

83%

First Half Result

49%

Correct Score

10%

Serie B 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 51%, BTTS 63%, Over/Under 2.5 52%, Over/Under 3.5 83%, correct score 10%.

Serie B Brazil stats compared with other leagues

How to read it

last 12 months · 390 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Tight and cageyCard-heavyCorner-heavy

Goals a match

2.34

56th of 63

xG a match

2.9

19th of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

10.43

7th of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

4.88

9th of 63

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Serie B Brazil: the stats that stand out

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Brick wall
Vila Nova8/10

Vila Nova kept 8 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Shot-shy
Ponte Preta8/10

Ponte Preta failed to score in 8 of their last 10 (league 30%).

Goal-fests
Sport Recife9/10

Sport Recife games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 44%).

Always chasing
Goiás8/10

Goiás conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Rarely both score
Criciúma2/10

Criciúma: both teams scored in only 2 of their last 10 (league 49%).

Slow starters
Avaí2/10

Avaí scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Flop as favourites
Fortaleza1/6

Fortaleza won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →
LIVE
Ponte PretaPonte Preta0
JuventudeJuventude1

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

121%
X29%
251%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ponte Preta49%51%83%17%
Juventude27%73%61%39%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT65%35%73%27%

Correct Score

0-1

16.2%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

12.6%

0-2

10.9%

1-0

9.1%

1-2

8.7%

Operário PROperário PR–
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

AvaíAvaí–
LondrinaLondrina–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

América MineiroAmérica Mineiro–
FortalezaFortaleza–

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

CRBCRB–
Atlético GOAtlético GO–

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Vila NovaVila Nova–
CuiabáCuiabá–

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

CearáCeará–
CriciúmaCriciúma–

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

NáuticoNáutico–
NovorizontinoNovorizontino–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

JuventudeJuventude–
São BernardoSão Bernardo–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Atlético GOAtlético GO–
Sport RecifeSport Recife–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

NáuticoNáutico–
Vila NovaVila Nova–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Operário PROperário PR–
GoiásGoiás–

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

CuiabáCuiabá–
AvaíAvaí–

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

FortalezaFortaleza–
CRBCRB–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

NovorizontinoNovorizontino–
Ponte PretaPonte Preta–

Winner

1 90%

BTTS*

No 71%

Correct Score

3-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

CriciúmaCriciúma–
América MineiroAmérica Mineiro–

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Botafogo SPBotafogo SP–
CearáCeará–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Athletic ClubAthletic Club–
LondrinaLondrina–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Ponte PretaPonte Preta–
Atlético GOAtlético GO–

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Sport RecifeSport Recife–
FortalezaFortaleza–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

CearáCeará–
JuventudeJuventude–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

América MineiroAmérica Mineiro–
Operário PROperário PR–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

São BernardoSão Bernardo–
CriciúmaCriciúma–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

AvaíAvaí–
Athletic ClubAthletic Club–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

CRBCRB–
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Vila NovaVila Nova–
NovorizontinoNovorizontino–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

GoiásGoiás–
NáuticoNáutico–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

LondrinaLondrina–
CuiabáCuiabá–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie B Brazil attack vs defence: chances created and allowed

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsSerie B Brazil average · 1.50 xG, 1.50 xGAlast 10 games each

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Serie B Brazil Results vs the Odds

Season 2026 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Serie B Brazil this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −15 odds expected+15 more ▶

Home wins

45.5%

Season (312) · 45.5% vs 45.5%Normal range
30 days (52) · 55.8% vs 48.3%Normal range

Draws

26.6%

Season (312) · 26.6% vs 29.0%Normal range
30 days (52) · 17.3% vs 27.0%Normal range

Away wins

27.9%

Season (312) · 27.9% vs 25.6%Normal range
30 days (52) · 26.9% vs 24.8%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

43.6%

Season (312) · 43.6% vs 40.6%Normal range
30 days (52) · 51.9% vs 43.9%Normal range

Both teams scored

47.4%

Season (312) · 47.4% vs 45.3%Normal range
30 days (52) · 44.2% vs 45.9%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

17.3%

Season (312) · 17.3% vs 20.5%Normal range
30 days (52) · 17.3% vs 23.3%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

36.5%

Season (312) · 36.5% vs 33.1%Normal range
30 days (52) · 42.3% vs 35.6%Normal range

Level at half-time

43.9%

Season (312) · 43.9% vs 45.9%Normal range
30 days (52) · 44.2% vs 44.0%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

19.6%

Season (312) · 19.6% vs 21.0%Normal range
30 days (52) · 13.5% vs 20.4%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

39.7%

Season (312) · 39.7% vs 38.7%Normal range
30 days (52) · 53.8% vs 42.4%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

25.0%

Season (312) · 25.0% vs 24.2%Normal range
30 days (52) · 25.0% vs 24.4%Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Serie B Brazil, season 2026: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason31245.5%45.5%0.0±5.4Normal range
Home wins30 days5255.8%48.3%+7.5±12.9Normal range
DrawsSeason31226.6%29.0%−2.4±5.0Normal range
Draws30 days5217.3%27.0%−9.7±12.0Normal range
Away winsSeason31227.9%25.6%+2.3±4.7Normal range
Away wins30 days5226.9%24.8%+2.2±11.2Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason31243.6%40.6%+3.0±5.4Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days5251.9%43.9%+8.0±13.3Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason31247.4%45.3%+2.1±5.5Normal range
Both teams scored30 days5244.2%45.9%−1.7±13.5Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason31217.3%20.5%−3.2±4.4Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days5217.3%23.3%−5.9±11.3Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason31236.5%33.1%+3.4±5.2Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days5242.3%35.6%+6.7±12.7Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason31243.9%45.9%−2.0±5.5Normal range
Level at half-time30 days5244.2%44.0%+0.2±13.4Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason31219.6%21.0%−1.4±4.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days5213.5%20.4%−6.9±10.7Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season31239.7%38.7%+1.1±5.3Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days5253.8%42.4%+11.5±13.0Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season31225.0%24.2%+0.8±4.7Normal range
Away team scored 2+30 days5225.0%24.4%+0.6±11.4Normal range

Serie B Brazil luck check: the last 10 games

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.2 = 7 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck3

  • Vila Nova
    Vila NovaClinical · +5 goals
    +7.2
  • Cuiabá
    CuiabáClinical · +4 goals
    +4.5
  • Atlético GO
    Atlético GO
    +4.1

Unlucky4

  • Londrina
    Londrina
    −6.7
  • Botafogo SP
    Botafogo SP
    −5.6
  • América Mineiro
    América MineiroWasteful · −8 goals
    −5.3
  • CRB
    CRBWasteful · −6 goals
    −4.0

Points in line, but wasteful: Ponte Preta (−3 goals). Clinical: Athletic Club (+6), Operário PR (+4).

In line with their chances: São Bernardo, Ceará, Fortaleza, Náutico, Sport Recife, Juventude, Avaí, Novorizontino, Goiás and Criciúma.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Serie B Brazil last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

How to read it

Sep 30–Oct 7 · 12 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Serie B Brazil Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
Vila NovaVila Nova
3157176844:31+13
W
W
W
D
W
2
JuventudeJuventude
3156168735:19+16
W
W
L
L
W
3
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
3154159752:27+25
W
D
L
D
W
4
CriciúmaCriciúma
3153158833:27+6
W
W
L
L
L
5
FortalezaFortaleza
31531411636:27+9
D
D
W
D
W
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Serie B Brazil

The league profile compares Serie B Brazil with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

Serie B is the second division of Brazilian football and is played within a single calendar year, from around March to November. Its 20 clubs play each other home and away over 38 rounds. Four clubs win promotion to Serie A and the bottom four are relegated to Serie C. With former Brazilian champions often fighting their way back to the top flight, Serie B is long, physical and full of surprises.

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