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Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 28)

Robbed

Juve Stabia drew despite more chances

Juve StabiaJuve Stabia

1–1

SampdoriaSampdoria
1.5Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances Juve Stabia would usually take 2.3 points and Sampdoria 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Juve Stabia.

Juve Stabia −1.3 pts vs chancesSampdoria +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Juve Stabia had more than twice the shots on target

Juve Stabia

Sampdoria

5

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

1

9

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

1

63%

Possession

38%

The match between Juve Stabia and Sampdoria ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Juve Stabia win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ascoli – Sampdoria prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juve Stabia to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Juve Stabia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juve Stabia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sampdoria Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sampdoria 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie B - Italy
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1
SampdoriaSampdoria1

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

147%
X29%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Juve Stabia28%72%64%37%
Sampdoria44%56%80%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Juve Stabia87%13%96%4%
Sampdoria95%5%99%1%

1st Half

132%
X46%
222%

1st Score

151%
X12%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

15.3%

1-1

13.3%

0-0

11.5%

0-1

9.8%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

5.6%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.9%

2-2

3.7%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ascoli – Sampdoria prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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