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Pisa vs Virtus Entella 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
PisaPisa

1–4

Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
1.6Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Pisa would usually take 1.6 points and Virtus Entella 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Pisa.

Pisa −1.6 pts vs chancesVirtus Entella +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Pisa vs Virtus Entella stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pisa had clearly more shots on target

Pisa

Virtus Entella

6

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

3

7

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Pisa and Virtus Entella ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Pisa win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Virtus Entella – Avellino prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Pisa vs Virtus Entella — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pisa to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Pisa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pisa 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Virtus Entella Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Virtus Entella 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Pisa vs Virtus Entella 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pisa vs Virtus Entella. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Serie B - Italy
PisaPisa1
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella4

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

145%
X30%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Pisa29%71%64%36%
Virtus Entella45%55%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Pisa87%13%96%4%
Virtus Entella94%6%99%1%

1st Half

129%
X50%
222%

1st Score

147%
X12%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

22%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

15.1%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

12.5%

0-1

10.0%

2-0

9.4%

2-1

8.1%

1-2

5.4%

0-2

4.4%

2-2

3.8%

3-0

3.7%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Virtus Entella – Avellino prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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