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Mantova vs Pisa

Mantova vs Pisa 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result

Mantova

2–2

Pisa

1.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Mantova would usually take 1.4 points and Pisa 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Pisa.

Mantova −0.4 pts vs chancesPisa −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mantova vs Pisa stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pisa had clearly more shots on target

Mantova

Pisa

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Mantova and Pisa ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Mantova win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Cremonese prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Mantova vs Pisa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Pisa to win.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Mantova Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Mantova 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Pisa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pisa 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mantova vs Pisa 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mantova vs Pisa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Mantova2

Pisa2

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Mantova2

Pisa2

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

154%

X25%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%	60%	40%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%	74%	26%	88%	12%
	44%	56%	76%	24%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%
	44%	56%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	88%	12%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

138%

X45%

217%

1st Score

160%

X8%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

20%

X-X

17%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.7%

0-0

7.5%

0-1

6.1%

3-0

5.7%

1-2

5.6%

3-1

5.4%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mantova vs Pisa — Recent Form

Pisa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Mantova have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Pisa

Mantova

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Pisa

1/5

Mantova

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Pisa

3/5

Mantova

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Pisa

1/5

Mantova

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Pisa

2/5

Mantova

3/5

First Half Result

Pisa

2/5

Mantova

3/5

Correct Score

Pisa

0/5

Mantova

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mantova – Cremonese prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).