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Basel vs Grasshopper 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 36)

Fair result
BaselBasel

3–1

GrasshopperGrasshopper
1.3Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Basel would usually take 1.1 points and Grasshopper 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Basel.

Basel +1.9 pts vs chancesGrasshopper −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Basel vs Grasshopper stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Basel

Grasshopper

5

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

5

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

3

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Basel and Grasshopper ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Basel win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grasshopper – Vaduz prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Basel vs Grasshopper — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Basel ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Basel Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Basel 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,863 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Grasshopper Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grasshopper 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Basel vs Grasshopper 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Basel vs Grasshopper. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
BaselBasel3
GrasshopperGrasshopper1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

147%
X25%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Basel23%77%53%47%
Grasshopper36%64%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Basel0%0%0%0%
Grasshopper0%0%0%0%

1st Half

134%
X40%
225%

1st Score

151%
X7%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

7.8%

0-1

7.0%

0-0

6.6%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

5.9%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

3.9%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grasshopper – Vaduz prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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