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Luzern vs Servette 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 36)
0–1
On these chances Luzern would usually take 1.7 points and Servette 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Servette.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Luzern vs Servette stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Luzern
Servette
2
Shots on target
2
2
Big chances
1
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
2
54%
Possession
46%
Luzern vs Servette — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Servette to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Servette ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Luzern 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Servette 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Servette 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Luzern vs Servette 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Luzern vs Servette. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% | |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
20%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score