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St. Gallen vs Sion 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 36)

Fair result
St. GallenSt. Gallen

4–0

SionSion
2.2Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances St. Gallen would usually take 2.0 points and Sion 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Gallen.

St. Gallen +1.0 pts vs chancesSion −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

St. Gallen vs Sion stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

St. Gallen had more than twice the shots on target

St. Gallen

Sion

6

Shots on target

3

5

Big chances

3

5

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

2

50%

Possession

50%

The match between St. Gallen and Sion ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a St. Gallen win with 59% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Gallen – Servette prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

St. Gallen vs Sion — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 259 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

St. Gallen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sion 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,566 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

St. Gallen vs Sion 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Gallen vs Sion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
St. GallenSt. Gallen4
SionSion0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

Full Time

159%
X21%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
St. Gallen15%85%40%60%
Sion45%55%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
St. Gallen0%0%0%0%
Sion0%0%0%0%

1st Half

153%
X32%
215%

1st Score

165%
X5%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

17%

X-X

10%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

9.5%

1-1

9.3%

2-0

9.3%

1-0

8.6%

3-1

6.5%

3-0

5.9%

2-2

5.4%

1-2

5.1%

0-1

4.9%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Gallen – Servette prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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