2. Leagues
  3. Super League
  4. Young Boys vs Winterthur

Young Boys vs Winterthur 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 36)

Fair result
Young BoysYoung Boys

2–1

WinterthurWinterthur
2.1Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Young Boys would usually take 2.4 points and Winterthur 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Young Boys.

Young Boys +0.6 pts vs chancesWinterthur −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs Winterthur stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Young Boys had more than twice the shots on target

Young Boys

Winterthur

6

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

1

6

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

3

72%

Possession

28%

The match between Young Boys and Winterthur ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Young Boys win with 78% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Young Boys – Zürich prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Young Boys vs Winterthur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys to win

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 83.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 259 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Young Boys Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Winterthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Winterthur 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 90%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Young Boys vs Winterthur 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Young Boys vs Winterthur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
Young BoysYoung Boys2
WinterthurWinterthur1

Winner

1 78%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

178%
X14%
28%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%67%33%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Young Boys9%91%27%73%
Winterthur65%35%90%10%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Young Boys0%0%0%0%
Winterthur0%0%0%0%

1st Half

166%
X26%
28%

1st Score

179%
X4%
217%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

62%

X-1

18%

X-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-X

3%

2-2

3%

X-2

2%

2-X

2%

1-2

0%

Correct Score

2-0

12.1%

3-0

10.4%

1-0

9.8%

2-1

8.5%

3-1

6.8%

1-1

6.5%

0-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Young Boys – Zürich prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores