1. Zürich vs Servette

Zürich vs Servette 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
ZürichZürich

2–1

ServetteServette
1.3Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Zürich would usually take 1.0 points and Servette 1.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Servette.

Zürich +2.0 pts vs chancesServette −1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zürich vs Servette stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Zürich

Servette

6

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

2

4

Corners

7

3

Yellow cards

2

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Zürich and Servette ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Servette win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Zürich vs Servette — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Servette to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Zürich Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zürich 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Servette Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Servette 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Servette 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zürich vs Servette 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zürich vs Servette. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ZürichZürich2
ServetteServette1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

132%
X24%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Zürich33%67%64%36%
Servette23%77%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Zürich84%16%95%5%
Servette77%23%91%9%

1st Half

127%
X39%
234%

1st Score

142%
X6%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

19%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.0%

2-1

7.0%

0-2

6.7%

1-0

6.6%

2-2

6.1%

0-0

5.6%

1-3

5.0%

2-0

4.3%

3-1

3.7%

0-3

3.5%

2-3

3.2%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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