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Grasshopper vs Lugano 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
GrasshopperGrasshopper

1–4

LuganoLugano
1.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Grasshopper would usually take 1.1 points and Lugano 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lugano.

Grasshopper −1.1 pts vs chancesLugano +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Grasshopper vs Lugano stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lugano had clearly more shots on target

Grasshopper

Lugano

4

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

4

3

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

0

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Grasshopper and Lugano ended 1-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lugano win with 54% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Thun – Lugano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Grasshopper vs Lugano — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lugano to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Grasshopper Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grasshopper 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Lugano Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lugano 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Grasshopper vs Lugano 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grasshopper vs Lugano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
GrasshopperGrasshopper1
LuganoLugano4

Winner

2 54%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

123%
X23%
254%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Grasshopper41%59%73%27%
Lugano19%81%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Grasshopper91%9%98%2%
Lugano73%27%89%11%

1st Half

121%
X40%
239%

1st Score

137%
X6%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

9.8%

0-1

9.8%

0-2

8.7%

2-1

6.1%

1-0

5.8%

0-0

5.8%

1-3

5.8%

0-3

5.7%

2-2

5.5%

2-3

3.4%

2-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Thun – Lugano prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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