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Zürich vs Vaduz

Zürich vs Vaduz 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Zürich

2–1

Vaduz

1.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Zürich would usually take 1.7 points and Vaduz 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vaduz.

Zürich +1.3 pts vs chancesVaduz −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zürich vs Vaduz stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Zürich had more than twice the shots on target

Zürich

Vaduz

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Zürich and Vaduz ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Zürich win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Zürich vs Vaduz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zürich to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Vaduz to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 34%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Zürich Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zürich 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Zürich 2+ goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Vaduz Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vaduz 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Vaduz 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zürich vs Vaduz 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zürich vs Vaduz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Zürich2

Vaduz1

Winner

1X 62%

BTTS*

Yes 69%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Zürich2

Vaduz1

Winner

1X 62%

BTTS*

Yes 69%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

Full Time

140%

X22%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	13%	87%	30%	70%	41%	59%	68%	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	13%	87%	30%	70%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	41%	59%	68%	32%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	50%	50%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	27%	73%	52%	48%	76%	24%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	50%	50%
	27%	73%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	76%	24%	89%	11%

1st Half

133%

X34%

233%

1st Score

148%

X3%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

22%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

X-X

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

8.5%

1-2

7.9%

2-1

7.8%

2-2

7.3%

1-0

5.1%

3-1

4.8%

0-1

4.7%

2-0

4.7%

3-2

4.4%

0-2

4.3%

1-3

4.3%

2-3

4.0%

0-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score