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Vaduz vs Basel

Vaduz vs Basel 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Vaduz

3–0

Basel

2.1Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Vaduz would usually take 2.1 points and Basel 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vaduz.

Vaduz +0.9 pts vs chancesBasel −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Vaduz vs Basel stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Vaduz had more than twice the shots on target

Vaduz

Basel

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Vaduz and Basel ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Basel win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Vaduz vs Basel — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Vaduz to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,035 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 277 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.1% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Vaduz Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vaduz 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Vaduz 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 990 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.

Basel Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 977 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vaduz vs Basel 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vaduz vs Basel. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Vaduz3

Basel0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Vaduz3

Basel0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

133%

X22%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%	45%	55%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	31%	69%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	58%	42%	80%	20%	91%	9%
	22%	78%	47%	53%	73%	27%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	58%	42%
	22%	78%	47%	53%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	91%	9%
	73%	27%	88%	12%

1st Half

131%

X41%

228%

1st Score

151%

X4%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

10.1%

1-1

8.8%

2-1

7.5%

2-2

7.1%

0-1

5.7%

0-2

5.2%

1-3

5.0%

1-0

4.5%

2-3

4.0%

0-3

3.7%

3-2

3.7%

2-0

3.5%

0-0

3.5%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vaduz vs Basel — Recent Form

Vaduz have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Basel have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Vaduz

Basel

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Basel

3/5

Vaduz

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Basel

4/5

Vaduz

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Basel

5/5

Vaduz

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Basel

2/5

Vaduz

4/5

First Half Result

Basel

1/5

Vaduz

1/5

Correct Score

Basel

0/5

Vaduz

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction