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Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
KonyasporKonyaspor

1–2

KocaelisporKocaelispor
0.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Konyaspor would usually take 0.9 points and Kocaelispor 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Konyaspor.

Konyaspor −0.9 pts vs chancesKocaelispor +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kocaelispor had more than twice the shots on target

Konyaspor

Kocaelispor

0

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

1

1

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

0

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Konyaspor and Kocaelispor ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Konyaspor win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kocaelispor – Göztepe prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Konyaspor to win

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Konyaspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Konyaspor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Kocaelispor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kocaelispor 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super Lig - Turkey
KonyasporKonyaspor1
KocaelisporKocaelispor2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

148%
X28%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Konyaspor26%74%60%40%
Kocaelispor44%56%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Konyaspor84%16%95%5%
Kocaelispor94%6%99%1%

1st Half

133%
X46%
221%

1st Score

153%
X11%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

21%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

10.9%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

9.0%

0-1

9.0%

1-2

5.6%

3-0

4.3%

2-2

4.0%

3-1

4.0%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kocaelispor – Göztepe prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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