1. Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd

Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
PartizanPartizan

1–2

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
1.0Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Partizan would usually take 1.0 points and IMT Novi Beograd 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Partizan.

Partizan −1.0 pts vs chancesIMT Novi Beograd +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Partizan

IMT Novi Beograd

4

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

3

6

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

0

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Partizan and IMT Novi Beograd ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Partizan win at 61% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Železničar Pančevo – Partizan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan to win

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Partizan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

IMT Novi Beograd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PartizanPartizan1
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd2

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

161%
X22%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Partizan16%84%45%55%
IMT Novi Beograd49%51%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Partizan72%28%88%12%
IMT Novi Beograd94%6%99%1%

1st Half

143%
X41%
216%

1st Score

162%
X7%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

12.3%

2-0

11.5%

1-1

10.6%

2-1

10.3%

0-0

6.5%

3-0

6.5%

3-1

5.8%

0-1

5.2%

1-2

4.4%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Železničar Pančevo – Partizan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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