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OFK Beograd vs Zemun 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

1–0

ZemunZemun
1.7Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances OFK Beograd would usually take 2.3 points and Zemun 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: OFK Beograd.

OFK Beograd +0.7 pts vs chancesZemun −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

OFK Beograd vs Zemun stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

OFK Beograd had more than twice the shots on target

OFK Beograd

Zemun

3

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

1

2

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

71%

Possession

29%

The match between OFK Beograd and Zemun ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a OFK Beograd win with 48% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zemun – Mačva Šabac prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

OFK Beograd vs Zemun — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFK Beograd to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: OFK Beograd ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

OFK Beograd Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFK Beograd 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: OFK Beograd 2+ goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Zemun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zemun 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

OFK Beograd vs Zemun 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OFK Beograd vs Zemun. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Serbia
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd1
ZemunZemun0

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

148%
X28%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
OFK Beograd26%74%60%40%
Zemun44%56%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
OFK Beograd84%16%95%5%
Zemun94%6%99%1%

1st Half

135%
X46%
219%

1st Score

153%
X11%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.6%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

11.3%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

8.8%

1-2

5.6%

3-0

4.3%

2-2

4.2%

3-1

4.0%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zemun – Mačva Šabac prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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